Home / Software & Service News / Roadmap says transistors will stop shrinking in 5 years

Roadmap says transistors will stop shrinking in 5 years

Whether or not Moore’s Law on complexity has always held true, you’ve had one constant in the semiconductor world: chip makers would always find a way to shrink transistors and create more powerful chips without increasing size or power consumption. However, even that one hint of predictability might soon disappear. The Semiconductor Industry Association (which includes the likes of IBM and Intel) has published a roadmap which expects transistors to stop shrinking after 2021. Simply speaking, it might not be financial practical to keep reducing transistor sizes — companies might not recoup the costs. Instead, they may focus on 3D chips an other technologies that make better use of available space.

There is some evidence to support the prediction. The number of companies that can afford to compete in chip manufacturing is getting very small. Intel, GlobalFoundries (AMD’s former manufacturing wing), Samsung and TSMC are the only big players left, and there’s no guarantee that all of them will stick around. Intel’s slower development pace is largely a reflection of how difficult it is to shrink transistors without introducing problems like excessive power leaks.

This doesn’t mean that Moore’s Law will be dead in 5 years. The use of 3D and other tricks may continue to double the complexity of chips for a while yet. And it’s important to stress that this is a roadmap, not a guarantee. How many times have pundits predicted the end of progress in chip design, only to be proven wrong as a discovery keeps hope alive for a while longer? The biggest concern is that semiconductor giants may have to change how they increase the complexity and power of their products, not that they’ll hit a wall.

Via: IEEE Spectrum

Source: Semiconductor Industry Association

Click Here For Original Source Of The Article

About Ms. A. C. Kennedy

Ms. A. C. Kennedy
My name is Ms A C Kennedy and I am a Health practitioner and Consultant by day and a serial blogger by night. I luv family, life and learning new things. I especially luv learning how to improve my business. I also luv helping and sharing my information with others. Don't forget to ask me anything!

Check Also

These are the best deals on Amazon’s home tech devices for Black Friday

TwitterFacebook

Just to let you know, if you buy something featured here, Mashable might earn an affiliate commission.

Black Friday is a battlefield, y'all. Tablets, smart home assistants, and all the other Amazon devices we've been drooling over all year are finally marked down.

Here's what you need to know:

Life is easier with smart home assistants

If you've been wanting to get your hands on an Echo Dot, snag one at their lowest price ever for just $29.99.

Save on the bigger Echo products as well — grab the classic Echo for $20 off at just $79.99 and the Echo Plus for $30 off at $119.99.

Speaking of Echo, you can add a smart plug to any Echo purchase for only $5 — that's $20 off. Read more...

More about Tablets, Kindle, Black Friday, Amazon Prime, and Reading

css.php